Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages reflect the current standings in the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any individual contender. As other formal (and informal) polls suggest, competitions are fluid and subject to change based on buzz and events. Predictions are updated every Thursday.
Director James Mangold and Timothée Chalamet on the set of A COMPLETE UNKNOWN.
Macall Polay
Best Director commentary (Updated Feb. 6, 2025): Brady Corbet’s “The Brutalist” has a legitimate shot at sweeping the weekend. Suppose it claims victory at the Critics Choice Awards, the Producers Guild of America Awards, and the Directors Guild of America Awards. In that case, we can officially retire the “wide open race” narrative. A clean sweep would solidify its status as the undisputed frontrunner — especially since the PGA’s preferential ballot tends to favor consensus picks, and A24’s historical epic fits that mold. But come on, when has awards season ever played out so neatly?
At DGA, Corbet is the odds-on favorite, but don’t count out veteran filmmaker James Mangold, whose Bob Dylan biopic, “A Complete Unknown,” has gained momentum recently. Mangold is deeply respected in Hollywood, and that goodwill — combined with the film’s recent surge — could make him a real threat in the directing race.
Critics Choice Awards Predictions for Best Director: Brady CorbetDGA Predictions: Brady Corbet
The 97th Oscars will be held on Sunday, March 2. All movie listings, titles, distributors, and credited artisans are not final and are subject to change.
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Image Credit: Augusta Quirk / Neon / Courtesy Everett Collection
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2024 category winner: Christopher Nolan — “Oppenheimer” (Universal Pictures)
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About the Academy Awards
The Academy Awards, better known as the Oscars, is Hollywood’s most prestigious artistic award in the film industry. Since 1927, nominees and winners have been selected by members of the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS). Nineteen branches are represented within the nearly 11,000-person membership. The branches are actors, animators, associates, casting directors, cinematographers, costume designers, directors, documentary, executives, film editors, makeup and hairstylists, marketing and public relations, members-at-large, members-at-large (artists’ representatives), music, producers, production design, short films, sound, visual effects and writers.
